Futures Scenario Process

AFI uses a set of five “platform scenarios” to guide clients through a process of evaluating alternative opportunities and risks. We work with clients, typically in a team setting, to customize the platform Arctic scenarios to the client’s business conditions. The goal is to create a set of Arctic strategies that will prove successful no matter how the Arctic operating environment evolves. We identify the global opportunities Arctic change may bring, while improving the resiliency of clients’ business or operating models against potential challenges. The process helps build executive alignment around a common understanding of emerging Arctic risks and possibilities and fosters strategic agility in the face of unalterable uncertainty and inevitable change.

Special Note: The AFI Arctic scenarios have been developed without the support of governments, professional associations, private corporations or NGOs. This independence engenders critical objectivity and a more global vision on a range of non-traditional challenges and opportunities, as well as on surprises that could plausibly shape the Arctic operating environment. AFI’s independent and integrated approach to Arctic strategy development engenders confidence and trust in the results. No other Arctic scenario approach offers the degree of customization to your organizational concerns and depth of coverage that AFI can offer.